Decision 2 · Week 4

"How much?"

When the answer is a number — what should we price it at, what will sales be, how long until failure — regression is your starting point.

Linear Regression Multiple Regression Supervised

Why this decision matters

Pricing, demand forecasting, customer lifetime value, real-estate appraisal, sports analytics — anywhere the question ends in a dollar amount or a quantity, you reach for regression first. It's also the most interpretable model: every coefficient maps directly to a business statement ("each additional year of age is worth $X in spend").

By the end of this topic you'll be able to

Build a simple and a multiple linear regression; interpret coefficients in business language; check the assumptions (linearity, independence, homoscedasticity, normality of residuals); spot multicollinearity; explain R² and RMSE to a non-technical audience.

Materials

Key concepts to know
  • Simple linear regression — one predictor, one outcome. The line of best fit.
  • Multiple regression — many predictors at once. Each coefficient is the effect holding the others constant.
  • R² & adjusted R² — how much of the variance you're explaining.
  • RMSE / MAE — how far off your predictions are, in the units of the outcome.
  • Multicollinearity — when predictors are too correlated with each other, coefficients become unstable.
  • Residual analysis — the leftover errors tell you whether your model is missing something.
  • Categorical variables — dummies vs. one-hot encoding; reference categories.
Hands-on demos

Two demo notebooks. The Linear Regression starter walks through the mechanics; the Moneyball demo applies the same techniques to a famous real-world business case.

Practice datasets

Each dataset is paired with a business problem to frame the regression around. Pick whichever decision interests you most.

Practice with games · Pick the right predictive method

Regression is the first predictive technique in the course. These short games help you frame predictive problems and pick the right method — useful here and for every supervised topic that follows.

Stay Ahead of the Curve

Subscribe to our bi-weekly newsletter for the latest insights on AI, data, and business strategy.